CNN’s Harry Enten was visibly agitated to report that Donald Trump’s polling numbers in a hypothetical 2024 matchup against Joe Biden have increased since the latest sham indictment against him and his associates.
“This is [from] Quinnipiac University. It was a two point race in February. Look where it is now, it’s a one-point race. That’s well within the margin of error. Take away one thing one thing from this - there are a lot of Democrats who simply can’t believe that Trump cannot win again. The polling indicates that Trump is, in fact, in a stronger position at this point than he was during the entire 2020 campaign, according to the national polls. If we had state level polling, I wouldn’t even be surprised if Trump were ahead in the swing states that are most important.”
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Of note, Quinnipiac University’s polls have historically massively underestimated the support of Republicans. Heading into the 2020 presidential election for instance, Quinnipiac predicted that Biden would win with a 10-point margin of victory, defeating Trump 51-41. The official results ended up being 51.3-46.8, meaning that Quinnipiac underestimated Trump’s support by 5.5 percentage points.
That’s quite a sizeable margin of error.. and an even larger one when you account for the margin of cheating.
Matt Palumbo is the author of Fact-Checking the Fact-Checkers: How the Left Hijacked and Weaponized the Fact-Checking Industry and The Man Behind the Curtain: Inside the Secret Network of George SorosDon’t miss the Dan Bongino Show