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GOP Holds Largest Lead in Early Midterm Polling in 40-Years

  • by:
  • Source: Dan Bongino
  • 06/11/2022
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It’s conventional wisdom that the party in opposition to the president tends to pick up seats in the midterms, and 2022 will only be different in that Republicans can expect to far-outperform what’s standard.

According to The Daily Caller:

Republicans currently have the largest lead in the generic congressional ballot they have had since 1981, according to an ABC News/Washington Post poll released Sunday.

“As things stand, if the midterm elections were today, 51 percent of registered voters say they’d support the Republican candidate in their congressional district, 41 percent the Democrat,” reads a press release from Langer Research, which conducted the poll for ABC News/Washington Post. “That’s the biggest lead for the Republicans in 110 ABC/Post polls to ask this question since November 1981. Indeed, it’s only the second time the GOP has held a statistically significant advantage (the other was +7 points in January 2002) and the ninth time it’s held any numerical edge at all.”

Independents, who are often considered the swing vote in elections, would support the GOP candidate by a 50-32 percent margin. This is notable considering they voted +12 points for the Democratic Party in the 2018 elections, which were the most recent midterm election.

For reference, here’s the polling gap since 1981:

Meanwhile, Biden’s approval ratings are getting worse by the day. In the Real Clear Politics average of major polls, Biden is polling nearly 11-points underwater.

And bear in mind, with the exception of Rasmussen, the polls in the RCP index tend to oversample Democrats – or in other words, those figures are Biden’s approval rating in a best case scenario.

Matt Palumbo is the author of The Man Behind the Curtain: Inside the Secret Network of George SorosDumb and Dumber: How Cuomo and de Blasio Ruined New YorkDebunk This: Shattering Liberal Lies, and Spygate

Photos by Getty Images

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