Majority of Capitol Hill Aides Say GOP Will Retake House Majority in 2022
A survey of Congressional aides found that a large majority believe the Republican Party is on its way to retaking the House of Representatives next year.
An overwhelming majority (66 percent) believe the Republicans will reclaim the majority, thus ending House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s (D-CA) short four-year reign of trying to push through her radical, one-sided agenda.
While the GOP is confident in its own ability to take back the lower chamber, the survey found that Democrats are also surprisingly pessimistic about their party’s chances, with 36% of Democrat aides agreeing the GOP is heading for a majority.
Aides are also at least somewhat optimistic that some of President Joe Biden’s agenda will make it through Congress before the potential GOP takeover:
The survey also asked whether the aides on the Hill believed some of the top issues on Capitol Hill would pass in the current 117th Congress. Seventy-four percent believe an infrastructure plan will pass, along with 48 percent saying a tax plan, while 42 percent said legislation to deal with prescription drug costs.
Despite the potential for Biden achievements that may be popular with some voters, Republicans are already expanding their map in anticipating of big gains next year:
Recently, the Republican campaign arm, the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC), expanded their list of offensive seats by ten seats, adding more vulnerable Democrats they hope to pick off in the midterm election. This now brings NRCC’s initial 47-member list of offensive targets to a full list of 57 vulnerable House Democrat members.
Additionally, three former chairs of the Democrat’s campaign arm, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC), sounded the alarm. They see Pelosi’s extremely slim majority starting to slip away as more members are starting to retire or look for higher office.
Republicans could also be boosted by former President Donald Trump, who has started the process of turning his powerful campaign machine into a vehicle to help his party take back control of Washington.
“I stand before you this evening filled with confidence that in 2022, we are going to take back the House (of Representatives) and we are going to reclaim the Senate. And then in 2024, a Republican candidate is going to win the White House,” Trump said during a Republican donor event last month.
Measuring the opinion of those willing to put their money where their mouths are; the bookies are giving the GOP a 70% chance of retaking the House.
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