Over 10% of all House Democrats have announced they will not be running for re-election this year.
According to the Washington Examiner:
There are now 25 House Democrats not seeking reelection in the midterm elections this year. Rep. Brenda Lawrence, who hails from Michigan, said she will not campaign for another term. In total, 37 House members have announced they won’t seek reelection. Twenty-one are retiring and 16 are seeking other offices. Ten Republicans so far have said they will not seek reelection. Among the Democrats not seeking reelection this year are Reps. Bobby Rush and Cheri Bustos of Illinois, Lucille Roybal-Allard and Jackie Speier of California, Albio Sires of New Jersey, and Stephanie Murphy of Florida.
Meanwhile, with the Senate split 50-50 and Democrats having a tiebreaker in Vice President Kamala Harris, one race could flip the balance in the upper chamber.
Dan explained on Fox yesterday that it’s no coincidence so many Democrats aren’t bothering to run again. “The polling data on the generic ballot has Republicans up by huge numbers. Do you think it’s a coincidence here that 25 House members on the Democrat side aren’t running again? Do you think they had some revelation quick, like ‘oh my gosh, this whole power in congress thing isn’t my bag of donuts?’ No – they’re leaving because they’re going to get their rumps kicked. That’s why.”
Historically, the president’s party has lost an average of 37 seats in midterm elections (Trump lost only 26 – 30% fewer than average). Republicans picked up a net 63 seats in the 2010 midterms, the largest shift in seats since the 1948 election, and that was in a year where Barack Obama’s net approval rating averaged at +4 (48% approve, 44% disapprove). According to the Real Clear Politics average of polls, Biden’s approval is currently at a net 11.5 disapproval.
Matt Palumbo is the author of The Man Behind the Curtain: Inside the Secret Network of George Soros
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