Pollster Confounded by Biden’s Share of the Vote in Four Key Cities
Patrick Basham is the director of the Democracy Institute in Washington D.C. Polling results from this organization were among the most accurate for the 2020 election cycle.
Basham’s column in the Sunday Express looks at the dismal performance by most pollsters in the 2020 election. He writes, “If you count the ballot fraud, most pollsters clearly failed. If you don’t include the fraudulent ballots, most pollsters failed on a spectacular scale.”
He considers the three most accurate pollsters for the 2020 election to be Richard Baris (Big Data Poll), Robert Cahaly (chief pollster of the Trafalgar Group), and his own Democracy Institute.
Of particular interest to me was something that Baris spotted as he compared former Vice President Joe Biden’s performance with Hillary Clinton’s in 2016. Baris noted that Clinton outperformed Biden in every U.S. city except for the following four: Milwaukee, Detroit, Atlanta and Philadelphia.
Baris wrote, “Trump won the largest non-white vote share for a Republican presidential candidate in 60 years. Biden underperformed Hillary Clinton in every major metro area around the country, save for Milwaukee, Detroit, Atlanta and Philadelphia.”
What can we extract from this statement? Why did Biden receive more votes in these four cities, all of which are located in key battleground states. I suppose he received more votes because Democrats knew he needed to receive more votes to defeat President Trump.
Basham writes that “Trump’s victories in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin were on target until, in the middle of the night, counting was arbitrarily halted. Miraculously, several hundred thousand votes – all for Biden – were mysteriously ‘found’; Trump’s real leads subsequently vanished.”
A similar situation occurred in Georgia on election night. Votes were being counted and Trump was building up a lead over Biden. Then election officials announced that a water main had broken at the State Farm Arena where the votes were being counted. The public was told this would cause delays in the counting process.
On Friday’s episode (#1392) of the Dan Bongino Show, Dan featured a text message obtained by a FOIA request that “casts doubt” on the “water main break” story.
Text message exchange between an unidentified person and Geoffrey Stiles, vice president of facilities for the Atlanta Hawks NBA team.
7:42 pm: “I just heard a water pipe burst at SFA that will cause vote count delay. Has this affected the AFCRA office? I think they were counting votes next door.”
7:43 pm: “No sir – it was highly exaggerated – it was a slow leak that caused about an hour and a half delay. We contained it quickly – it did not spread – we just wanted to protect the equipment.”
Basham cites election analyst Robert Barnes who observed that, “in these big cities in swing states run by Democrats…the vote even exceeded the number of registered voters.”