President Trump’s Re-Election Odds Hit Record High Day After Acquittal
Just two weeks ago the Gallup poll found that impeachment is increasing public approval for President Donald Trump. The poll, taken after the House vote on impeachment and before the Senate trial, found the president’s approval ratings were “among the highest of his presidency.”
Then, the day before the Senate was set to acquit President Trump, his approval hit its all time high in the Gallup poll at 49%. Gallup, whose approval ratings of Trump usually lag that of other pollsters, noted that “If Trump’s higher approval rating is being driven by Americans giving him credit for improvements in the economy, his support may increase over the course of the year, as it did for Ronald Reagan in 1984, Clinton in 1996 and Barack Obama in 2012. All of those recent presidents held office during periods of sustained economic improvement and were re-elected with job approval ratings of better than 50%.”
Now, the day after Trump’s acquittal, Trump’s odds of winning re-election hit an all-time high.
As the Washington Examiner’s Paul Bedard reported: A week of strong job approval polls for President Trump has ended with the one survey that sizes up his chances for reelection, and the odds are nearly 60% that he will win a second term.
Betting aggregator Oddschecker.com put Trump’s chances at 59.99%, and the site shows that Trump has been soaring in the past few weeks, paralleling national job approval surveys including Gallup and the highly watched RealClearPolitics “Trump Job Approval” average.
Trump’s odds of victory are now 5-7, according to Oddschecker. The firm’s spokesman, Pete Watt, told Secrets that “Trump is at an all-time high.” Far behind is Independent Sen. Bernie Sanders, who has a 16.7% chance of winning the White House, and former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg with an 11% chance.
In an attempt to save face this morning after her humiliating defeat last night, Nancy Pelosi reiterated her past statement that Trump is still “impeached forever.”
He’s also acquitted forever, and voters are giving more weight to that fact.