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Another “Fact Checker” Prediction on Biden’s Border Crisis Ages Poorly

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Discernment has died in the daylight once again at the Washington Post.

In the early days of the Biden administration, the Washington Post began ignoring the border crisis and predicting that it would go away on its own. In March 2021, columnist Jennifer Rubin wrote of the crisis “[T]here has been no surge of arrivals outside the normal fluctuation of migration.” This came after statistics revealed that 30,000 unaccompanied minors crossed the border the month prior, more than the number for the entirety of 2020.

In May 2021, Washington Post fact checker Glenn Kessler himself shared a Post article he ought to have fact checked, titled “There’s no migrant ‘surge’ at the U.S. southern border. Here’s the data.” The headline was later changed to “The migrant ‘surge’ at the U.S. southern border is actually a predictable pattern” after widespread mockery.

The article argues that January-April are ‘surge’ months for illegal immigration, and the surge will naturally fall off. “This analysis of migrant data suggests Biden’s ‘crisis’ at the border will resolve itself by May without him lifting a finger,” he added.

It’s now been over a year, and this prediction has aged just as poorly as Biden’s approval rating. In only four of the thirteen months since then that there’s data for have monthly border encounters been lower than in March 2021, when they were calling the top.

The fiscal year 2021 (ending September 20, 2021) saw record 1.7 million illegals encountered, the highest number recorded since at least 1960.

Matt Palumbo is the author of The Man Behind the Curtain: Inside the Secret Network of George Soros


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