Despite months of pushing narratives of “Republican gerrymandering,” it’s Democrats that are set to be the net beneficiaries of redistricting.
According to Just The News:
At least six Democratic-leaning seats have been added to the House of Representatives so far ahead of the midterm elections this fall.
Twenty-five states have finished redrawing their congressional maps using data from the 2020 census. Analysis from FiveThirtyEight found that compared to the old maps, there are now six more Democrat-leaning seats, one fewer Republican-leaning seat, and four fewer “highly competitive seats.”
The new maps for now seemingly benefit Democrats, despite the fact that more people are moving to red states. Blue states California, New York and Illinois were the top three to lose seats following the 2020 census. Texas, Florida and North Carolina were the top three states to gain seats.
Despite redistricting benefitting Democrats, it’s unlikely to make much of a difference in the 2022 midterms. Republicans picked up a net 63 seats in the 2010 midterms, the largest shift in seats since the 1948 election, and that was in a year where Barack Obama’s net approval rating averaged at +4 (48% approve, 44% disapprove). According to the Real Clear Politics average of polls, Biden’s approval is currently at a net 10.6 disapproval.
Democrats will also be decimating themselves, with roughly 10% of House Democrats not running for re-election.
The GOP previously needed a net gain of just five seats to take back control of the House.
Matt Palumbo is the author of The Man Behind the Curtain: Inside the Secret Network of George Soros
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